Determinanty salda rachunku obrotów bieżących Polski w latach 2000–2011

Abstract

The article attempts to provide an empirical investigation of the medium-term determinants of current account to GDP ratio for Poland between 2000 and 2011, utilizing an approach that emphasizes the macroeconomic determinants of saving and investment balances. It is find that current account to GDP ratio is positively correlated with relative (in reference to Germany and EU27) real GDP per capita, relative (in reference to EU27) general government balance to GDP and spread between long term government bond yields in Poland and Germany. Net foreign direct investment to GDP, relative (in reference to EU27) employment rate and nominal effective exchange rate are negatively correlated with current account balance to GDP ratio.