Długookresowe przemiany umieralności a dostępność krewnych w okresie dzieciństwa i późnej starości

Abstract

LONG-TERM MORTALITY REDUCTION AND SUPPLY OF KIN OVER THE LIFE COURSE IN POLAND SUMMARY Long-term changes in families’ size and structure are well documented in the Polish demographic and sociological literature. Due to many works done by historians of the family we could observe how the number of kins changed in particular circumstances as result of reduction both in mortality rates and the fertility ones. But – at the same time – there’s no research focused on large-scale effects of mortality changes for family structure. The presented study is aimed at determining how the mortality decline affect kin avaialibity in the case two stages of the individual life-course – infancy and childchood, and senility. Using Polish period life tables I estimated probability that an indivudual could rely on living kins – partner, (grand)parent(s), (grand)child(ren). The results are consistent with results presented in works devoted to the supply of kin over the life-course in many other countries, but indicated the Polish specifity, i.e. lack of success in mortality reduction during the last 30 years of socialism in Poland