Rola prognozowania w podejmowaniu przedsięwzięć integracyjnych w RWPG

Abstract

The integration of socialist countries is a new phenomenon. The forms of its implementation should undergo an evolution on the way of confrontation between novel solutions and the economic practice. Forecasting should become one of foundations for launching integration ventures within the CMEA. The forecasts of the CMEA member countries summed up at the integration level allow to formulate conclusions with respect to future needs of the community in definite areas of the economy and possibilities of meeting these needc within the CMEA framework. This will provide a possibility of predicting the possible barriers to the economic development of the member states creating simultaneously a chance of preventing them through undertaking appropriate measures. In turn, the forecasts concerning the international environment of the grouping provide information on future possibilities and sources of supplying deficit commodities within the grouping as well as changes in the international labour division on the world scale. Adjustment to these changes allows to reduce the social costs of the community's development. For such forecasting to be able to accomplish the planned tasks it must be organized within a coherent system operating in a continuous manner.